Shortly after approving his massive investment plan to create “millions of jobs” and another equally strong stimulus package, the president Joe Biden In his first weeks he started betting heavily United States. It is obliged to do so, as its short term expires in 2022.
“I think he knows his legacy will be written in the next two years, his legacy as president, he thinks big,” David Axelrod, a former adviser to Barack Obama, said Tuesday.
The 2020 presidential election gave the Democrats victory, as well as added comfort: the control of a majority Congress, but by a narrow margin.
Memories of the last presidents who lost their legislative majority in the midterm elections two years after coming to power in the White House and in the corridors of the Capitol, the seat of the U.S. Legislature: Donald Trump In 2018, Barack Obama In 2010, George W. Bush In 2006 and Bill Clinton in 1994.
Presidents facing this risk have basically two options: to manage the majority of the center, to seek consensus, to secure a majority or to bet on everything in an ambitious attempt to make major reforms from the outset, despite the risk of losing control of Congress.
19 months since the midterm elections in 2022, Biden has already made his race clear: he wants to move quickly with ambitious plans to transform the United States.
Fear is urgency. At age 78, Biden – the oldest president in the United States – says he wants to run for president again in 2024, but Axelrod believes the chances of doing so are “far off,” he said in a podcast with Republican Mike Murphy.
Biden 3, which focuses on infrastructure and job creation, provides $ 2.3 trillion
“It’s big, yes. It’s brave, yes. We can do it!”
With that firm tone, Biden on Wednesday unveiled his plan to invest $ 2 trillion in US infrastructure over eight years, creating “millions of jobs”, combating climate change and a China Rising.
The announcement comes three weeks after his grand plan to stimulate the world’s largest economy and tackle the epidemic. Govit-19 – About $ 2 trillion -, will become law.
The total potential cost of the two projects will be higher than Germany’s GDP.
Biden, who has not ignored congressional guidelines – he has spent more than 35 years as a senator – wants to show himself as a defender of the negotiations, always extending his hand to the other side.
But the White House has made it clear that it will not hesitate to move forward without Republicans if necessary.
Judging by the first reactions of the conservatives, the opposition will be strong.
Influential Republican leader Mitch McConnell in the Senate on Thursday pledged to fight the infrastructure plan “at every step”, arguing that there was no public mandate for such a broad package.
U.S. President Joe Biden on Thursday (11) during a one-year nationwide speech on the Govt-19 epidemic – Photo: AB Photo / Andrew Hornick
So, how does Biden hope to accept his plan?
“Successful electoral politics is a viable art,” Biden said To the press at the first press conference on March 25th. It will not be easy.
Democrats, with a tight majority in the House of Representatives, can make very few mistakes. But House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, an experienced strategist, said she hoped to implement the plan early in the summer (in the Northern Hemisphere).
However, Senate approval would be a more complex challenge. With a small majority, Democrats can make no exceptions in the House. But given the breadth and complexity of the plan, tensions have already developed between the centrist and the party’s progressives.
Democrat talks will occupy a large part of the coming months and will always be under threat of possible spending in the 2022 midterm elections.
His hope for now is that a strong economic recovery, along with the possible end of the epidemic, will allow him to escape the “curse” of defeats in these elections.
“The biggest exception to this trend was the midterm elections in 2002. It was a national tragedy that united the country after the September 11 attacks,” and allowed the Bush-led Republicans to win seats, recalls political scientist Miles Coleman. University of Virginia.
“Can Pita and the Democrats avoid a half-sentence? Yes,” he said. But he quickly said, “Should you believe it? Maybe not, especially considering how narrow the democratic majority is now.”