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Vladimir Putin and the decision to invade Ukraine. What is the future of the Kremlin leader? What do the Russians think and say?

Vladimir Putin and the decision to invade Ukraine.  What is the future of the Kremlin leader?  What do the Russians think and say?

An unnamed Western official said in an interview with Reuters that President Vladimir Putin has weakened the decision to invade Ukraine, but that a change at the top of power in Russia is unlikely due to the authoritarian nature of its political system. In his opinion, the failures of the Russians at the front and the political chaos related to the decision to invade “should mean that people talk more and more about a change of power, talk more about what will happen next, and imagine life” without Putin. in power.

According to a Western official who wishes to remain anonymous Russian President Vladimir Putin It weakened the “truly catastrophic mistake” of the invasion Ukraine. “We see the Russian army being humiliated on the battlefield by Ukraine,” he adds.

The Reuters interlocutor also notes that the war strengthened the Ukrainian state and For this, thus weakening Putin. “People can see that he made a huge mistake. They[the Russians]didn’t have a Plan B – they thought it would be really easy,” he adds. In his opinion, the failure of the Russians at the front and the political chaos related to the decision to invade “must mean that people are talking more and more about a change of power, talking more about what will happen next, and imagine life without ‘Putin’ in power,” the official added, noting at the same time , however, does not claim that such a fundamental change could occur in the near future. He asserts that despite the change of leader in Russia ‘Impossible’, but the mid-20s was starting to look ‘more exciting’

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The next presidential election will be held in Russia in 2024. Putin has not yet announced whether he will run again.

The New York Times: Representatives of the Russian military authorities discussed the possibility of using nuclear weapons in Ukraine

Russia turns to Asia

Reuters also quoted Putin himself, who said he did not regret launching what he calls Russia’s “special operation” against Ukraine, and considers the war a turning point as Russia finally resisted the arrogant dominance of the West after decades of humiliation. since the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991.

After the West imposed the toughest sanctions on Moscow in modern history because of the war, Putin said Russia was moving toward Asia, especially China.

In a congratulatory message, Xi hailed the “strategic partnership” with Russia

Russian President Vladimir PutinPAP / EPA / MIKHAIL METZEL / KREMLIN POOL / SPUTNIK

The biggest confrontation with the West in 60 years

Reuters writes in its comment that The war in Ukraine It has already claimed tens of thousands of lives and sparked the biggest confrontation with the West since the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962, when the Cold War superpowers were on the brink of nuclear war. An anonymous official notes that Ukrainian and Russian forces dig in in the winter as temperatures begin to drop and the war is likely to continue to be a “long, difficult and bloody conflict”. The agency estimates that after Putin’s partial mobilization order on September 21, at least 400,000 Russians left the country, in addition to the citizens who left shortly after the invasion began.

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The interviewer also notes to Reuters that the Russian economy, due to the numerous sanctions, will shrink by at least 4.5 percent in 2022, and will shrink further in the next year. He also claims that there are no indications at the moment that Russia is ready to enter into serious negotiations with the Ukrainian side. He also expects that “the long and difficult bloody conflict will continue.”

Main image source: PAP / EPA / MIKHAIL METZEL / KREMLIN POOL / SPUTNIK

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